Key Points
- Overall UK job postings rise to 50% above pre-pandemic levels.
- Strong hiring in many of last year’s booming categories like cleaning, warehousing and hospitality.
- Regional performance remains uneven with London lagging.
We regularly update this report to track the pandemic’s effects on the labour market.
Job postings grew strongly in the latest four weeks, bringing overall volumes to a new post-pandemic high. Job postings were 50% above the 1 February 2020, pre-pandemic baseline, seasonally adjusted, as of 18 February 2022. That’s up from 39% four weeks previously, with hiring intentions having picked up after a soft patch around the turn of the year.
Hiring picks up again in last year’s booming categories
Occupations which were hiring in large volume after last spring’s reopening have seen notable upshifts in growth momentum after a soft start to 2022. Cleaning & sanitation and loading & stocking are also among the biggest gainers over the past four weeks and also stand furthest above pre-pandemic job posting levels.
At the other end of the table, beauty & wellness, legal and childcare job postings stand below pre-pandemic levels.
Aviation has edged into positive territory, having seen one of the biggest improvements over the latest four weeks amid easing international travel and a jump in holiday bookings.
Hospitality hiring has also seen a bounce as omicron’s impact on the sector fades. Food preparation & service (which includes bar and restaurant jobs) saw a 32ppt gain in its job posting trend over the past four weeks, the largest among all categories we track.
North East retains lead
The North East continues to have the strongest regional recovery, with job postings 80% above the pre-pandemic baseline. London remains at the foot of the regional rankings, with job postings up 35%.
Variation in city performance
The strength of job posting recoveries continues to vary considerably at the level of cities and large towns. Plymouth, Middlesbrough and Wakefield are furthest above the pre-pandemic baseline. Aberdeen, Aldershot and Southend have the weakest job postings recoveries.
As we discussed in a previous post, posting recovery has generally been stronger in cities with higher shares of manufacturing, distribution and public sector jobs, while areas reliant on travel and tourism and highly paid, white-collar, work-from-home jobs trail.
We host the underlying job-postings chart data on Github as downloadable CSV files. Typically, it will be updated with the latest data one day after this blog post was published.
Methodology
All figures in this blog post are the percentage change in seasonally-adjusted job postings since 1 February, 2020, using a seven-day trailing average. 1 February, 2020, is our pre-pandemic baseline. We seasonally adjust each series based on historical patterns in 2017, 2018, and 2019. Each series, including the national trend, occupational sectors, and sub-national geographies, is seasonally adjusted separately. We adopted this new methodology in January 2021.
The number of job postings on Indeed.com, whether related to paid or unpaid job solicitations, is not indicative of potential revenue or earnings of Indeed, which comprises a significant percentage of the HR Technology segment of its parent company, Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. Job posting numbers are provided for information purposes only and should not be viewed as an indicator of performance of Indeed or Recruit. Please refer to the Recruit Holdings investor relations website and regulatory filings in Japan for more detailed information on revenue generation by Recruit’s HR Technology segment.
*We looked at the relationship between job postings, clicks and wages in sectors experiencing the greatest hiring difficulties in a previous post.